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Dartington Workshop on Tipping Points in the Earth System

12–16 Sept 2022
Dartington Hall, Devon, UK
Europe/London timezone

Helle Astrid Kjær

Session

Discussion on Objective 2 (O2). Provide approaches for the identification and validation of Early Warning Signals (EWSs)

13 Sept 2022, 14:30
Dartington Hall, Devon, UK

Dartington Hall, Devon, UK

The event will take place at Dartington Hall, near Totnes in Devon, UK (http://www.dartington.org). There is a linked event on Monday the University of Exeter (NB separate sign up-https://global-tipping-points.org/).

Description

Specific Objective 2.1. Develop methods to skillfully predict forthcoming TPs beyond simple statistical EWSs. This work will focus on the interactions between different TEs and complement statistical precursors of forthcoming transitions and cascades thereof by physics-based ones.

Presentation materials

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  1. 47. Niklas Boers
    13/09/2022, 14:30

    Intro and overview

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  2. 49. Andreas Morr
    13/09/2022, 14:35

    Assessing EWS in the presence of continuous-time correlated noise

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  3. 50. Chris Boulton
    13/09/2022, 14:55

    Amazon Resilience

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  4. 51. Lana Blaschke
    13/09/2022, 15:08

    Amazon spatial correlations

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  5. 52. Maya Ben-Yami (remote)
    13/09/2022, 15:21

    AMOC EWS in CMIP6 models

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  6. 54. Nils Bochow (remote)
    13/09/2022, 15:34

    EWS in the South American monsoon

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  7. 53. Andreas Morr
    13/09/2022, 15:47

    Green Sahara Collapse

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  8. 55. Discussion
    13/09/2022, 16:20
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