Sep 12 – 16, 2022
Dartington Hall, Devon, UK
Europe/London timezone


Discussion on Objective 4 (O4). Define and identify safe operating spaces

Sep 15, 2022, 10:30 AM
Dartington Hall, Devon, UK

Dartington Hall, Devon, UK

The event will take place at Dartington Hall, near Totnes in Devon, UK ( There is a linked event on Monday the University of Exeter (NB separate sign up-


Specific Objective 4.1. Estimate the safety of operating spaces in terms that are quantitatively related to well-defined notions of bifurcations and attractors, as well as to global notions of stability for non-autonomous systems subject to time-dependent forcing.

Specific Objective 4.2. Develop quantitative estimates for the boundaries of safe operating spaces and the associated uncertainties in terms of critical levels and rates of change of distinct anthropogenic forcings. Assess the likelihood of abrupt transitions in the vicinity of these boundaries, while taking into account concepts such as noise- and rateinduced tipping.

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