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Dartington Workshop on Tipping Points in the Earth System

12–16 Sept 2022
Dartington Hall, Devon, UK
Europe/London timezone

Helle Astrid Kjær

Contribution List

58 out of 58 displayed
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  1. 63. Welcome by Peter Ditlevsen
    13/09/2022, 08:50
  2. 3. Talk by Witold Bagnievski
    13/09/2022, 09:00

    Part 1 recent progress on a self-consistent framework of abrupt climate changes in proxy reconstructions of past climates

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  3. 28. Talk by Keno Riechers
    13/09/2022, 09:15

    Part 2 recent progress on a self-consistent framework of abrupt climate changes in proxy reconstructions of past climates

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  4. 2. Talk by Ayako Abe-Ouchi (remote)
    13/09/2022, 09:30
  5. 17. Louise Sime - Introduction to Objective 1, and our progress
    13/09/2022, 10:30
  6. 20. Eirik Myrvoll Nilsen
    13/09/2022, 10:50

    Part 3 recent progress on a self-consistent framework of abrupt climate changes in proxy reconstructions of past climates

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  7. 21. Irene Malmierca
    13/09/2022, 11:05

    Recent progress on identifying D-O tipping elements (TEs) and their interactions in models and data, and the identification of critical forcing levels

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  8. 22. Rachel Diamond
    13/09/2022, 11:20

    Recent progress on Arctic sea ice as a potential (TEs) and its interactions within CMIP5 and CMIP6 models - with a focus on warm climates

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  9. 23. Richard Wood
    13/09/2022, 11:35

    Recent progress on simulating abrupt climate changes from a (self-consistent) hierarchy of models

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  10. 24. Louise Sime
    13/09/2022, 11:45

    Summary and discussion of remaining Objective 1 questions

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  11. 38. Talk by Kerstin Lux
    13/09/2022, 13:30

    Memory Effects on Early Warning Signs

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  12. 6. Talk by Virna Meccia
    13/09/2022, 13:45

    Internal multi-centennial variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation simulated by EC-Earth3

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  13. 5. Talk by Johannes Lohmann
    13/09/2022, 14:00

    Multistability and tipping points of the ocean circulation

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  14. 29. Talk by Denis Höning
    13/09/2022, 14:15

    Stability of the Greenland Ice Sheet and Connections to Anthropogenic Carbon Emissions

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  15. 47. Niklas Boers
    13/09/2022, 14:30

    Intro and overview

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  16. 49. Andreas Morr
    13/09/2022, 14:35

    Assessing EWS in the presence of continuous-time correlated noise

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  17. 50. Chris Boulton
    13/09/2022, 14:55

    Amazon Resilience

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  18. 51. Lana Blaschke
    13/09/2022, 15:08

    Amazon spatial correlations

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  19. 52. Maya Ben-Yami (remote)
    13/09/2022, 15:21

    AMOC EWS in CMIP6 models

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  20. 54. Nils Bochow (remote)
    13/09/2022, 15:34

    EWS in the South American monsoon

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  21. 53. Andreas Morr
    13/09/2022, 15:47

    Green Sahara Collapse

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  22. 55. Discussion
    13/09/2022, 16:20
  23. 73. Alison McLaren and Merve Gorguner
    13/09/2022, 17:00

    Adding Water Tracers and Isotopes to the
    UK Earth System Model (UKESM2)

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  24. 69. Laura Jackson
    13/09/2022, 17:05

    AMOC thresholds in CMIP6 models: North Atlantic Hosing MIP

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  25. 70. Rene van Westen
    13/09/2022, 17:10

    Wind-driven Ocean Circulation – Model Order Reduction

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  26. 71. Valérian Jacques-Dumas
    13/09/2022, 17:15

    Machine Learning Estimate
    of the committor function

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  27. 72. Paul ritchie
    13/09/2022, 17:20

    Evidence of local Amazon dieback in CMIP6 models

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  28. 68. Sacha Sinet
    13/09/2022, 17:25

    Predicting Cascading
    Phenomena via asymptotics

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  29. 75. Ignacio del Amo
    13/09/2022, 17:30

    Double well experiment: noise tipping with α-stable noise.

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  30. 74. Bert Wuyts
    13/09/2022, 17:35

    Tropical forest: Data and model

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  31. 76. Takahito Mitsui
    13/09/2022, 17:40

    Synchronization and vibrational resonance in glacial interglacial cycles

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  32. 77. Da Nian
    13/09/2022, 17:45

    The combined impact of global warming and AMOC collapse on the Amazon Rainforest

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  33. 78. Jessica Steer
    13/09/2022, 17:50

    Spontaneous Dansgaard-Oeschger type oscillations in climate models: Tipping Points in the climate system

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  34. 79. Ruth Chapman
    13/09/2022, 17:55

    Stochastic data adapted AMOC box models

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  35. 80. George Datseris
    13/09/2022, 18:00

    Basin fraction continuation algorithms

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  36. 25. Talk by Florian Rabe
    14/09/2022, 09:00

    Representing Mathematical Models of Physical Systems

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  37. 26. Talk by Peter Ditlevsen
    14/09/2022, 09:30

    Confident prediction of forthcoming tipping point

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  38. 27. Talk by Victor Couplet
    14/09/2022, 09:45

    B-tipping, R-tipping, and overshooting phenomena in a toy model of the AMOC

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  39. 39. Discussion led by Michel Crucifix
    14/09/2022, 10:30

    -Sum up our results and progress (20min)
    -Brainstorming about efficient communication with policymakers or policyadvisers (30 min)
    -Nicola Botta (online) about the difference between acting and planning (20 min)
    -WP 7 (20 min)

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  40. 37. Bus to Kent's Cavern
    14/09/2022, 13:30

    We have arranged for a bus to visit Kent's Cavern with evidence of past abrupt climate changes, bringing us back to Dartington Hall for about 18:00.

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  41. 30. Talk by Ulrike Feudel- Rate-induced tipping in predator-prey systems
    15/09/2022, 09:00

    Nowadays, populations are faced with unprecedented rates of global climate change, habitat fragmentation and destruction causing an accelerating conversion of their living conditions. Critical transitions in ecosystems often called regime shifts lead to sudden shifts in the dominance of species or even to species’ extinction and decline of biodiversity. Many regime shifts are explained as...

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  42. 31. Talk by Julian Newman
    15/09/2022, 09:30

    Finite-time stabilisation by slowly varying forcing

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  43. 32. Talk by Xu Zhang
    15/09/2022, 09:45

    Climate background-dependent bifurcation of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

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  44. 40. Discussion led by Marisa Montoya
    15/09/2022, 10:30
  45. 56. Marisa Montoya
    15/09/2022, 10:40

    Identifying safe operating spaces through analysis and modelling of tipping elements in future climates

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  46. 57. Pete Ashwin
    15/09/2022, 11:00

    Safe operating spaces, multistability and impending tipping points

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  47. 58. Victor Couplet
    15/09/2022, 11:20

    A route to O4 using commitment ideas

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  48. 62. Anna von der Heydt
    15/09/2022, 11:40

    How does climate sensitivity help to constrain safe operating spaces?

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  49. 59. Discussion
    15/09/2022, 12:00
  50. 33. Talk by Mary Silber
    15/09/2022, 13:30

    A framework to investigate how changing rainfall patterns may impact vegetation band patterns in drylands

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  51. 34. Talk by Robbin Bastiaansen
    15/09/2022, 14:00

    Linear and nonlinear climate response

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  52. 44. Talk by Matteo Cini
    15/09/2022, 14:15

    Simulating AMOC collapse with a Large Deviation Algorithm

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  53. 42. Valerio Lucarini - introductory talk
    15/09/2022, 14:30
  54. 60. Discussion led by Anna von der Heydt
    15/09/2022, 15:00
  55. 66. Early Career -Open questions and snacks
    15/09/2022, 17:00
  56. 67. General Assembly (GA)-for PIs and WP leaders
    15/09/2022, 17:00

    The GA is the ultimate decision-making body of TiPES, responsible for overall decisions concerning the project as a whole such as addressing major strategic issues as/if they arise. The GA will be held annually and has responsibility for steering the overall direction of the project.

    Each beneficiary have one vote.

    The GA is chaired by the Coordinator. Specifically the GA...

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  57. 36. Talk by Tim Lenton
    16/09/2022, 09:00
  58. 45. Update from mangement
    16/09/2022, 09:45

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